![]() ![]() In recent years, the Vols have failed to walk the walk against the likes of Alabama, but that is understandable. However, I think it is time to exorcise those demons and back a UT program that is on the rise and ready to explode on a big stage. Pick games every week and compete for prizes! Make Your PicksĪll bettors have kryptonite teams, and Pitt has been one for me in recent years. Granted, Gators dynamic quarterback Anthony Richardson is always a play away from the end zone, but I still anticipate a tightly-played half before the game opens up. Napier's attack has more of a grinding effect with a potential for second-half dividends and not as much big-play ability early on. ESPN college football analyst Greg McElroy explained this week on Daily Wager (shameless plug) how the Gators run the ball differently under first-year coach Billy Napier, attacking the Utah defensive front last week with a direct approach, as opposed to a misdirection style under previous coach Dan Mullen. This ranked SEC matchup fits the formula for a first-half under. ![]() 12 Florida Gators (first half under 25.5) I encourage you to at least track this philosophy. But I do prefer the intensity and slight predictability of a first half rather than the looseness of late-game antics in both tight games and blowouts. "It just looks like when these in-game totals get really low and it looks like there's nothing happening, the scoring starts to blow up."Īgain, it's a working theory. The algorithms that determine live betting lines do not account for certain variables and thus present an opportunity to bet a live total that has lowered too much. Another pro bettor told me this week that he too has noticed slower starts with more frequency but also sees value - in the form of in-game wagering. He's convinced that players and coaches are now more likely to chase stats for the backups. One pro bettor complained to me just days ago about NIL money influencing the end of games. So, if first halves are played differently than second halves, then we should theoretically have an opportunity to uncover betting value in the first half.Īnd I am not alone. ![]() So, to reiterate, first-half betting lines are not calculated separately in a vacuum and only using first-half statistics from throughout the season. After that, the first-half spread and total are commensurate. Now for the betting nuance that provides money-making opportunities a game's point spread and over/under are computed using data points from the two teams' full-game statistics. Coaches trailing by double-digits are more likely to take chances in the second half, creating more points or short fields for the opponent.Early-game emotion and energy levels favor the defense, as fatigue typically arrives in the second half and inhibits tackling, and that early defensive energy offsets any offensive advantage by a team scripting plays to open the game.* Offensive coordinators can assess the defensive game plan and then adjust play-calling accordingly as the game evolves. Teams typically play conservatively in the first half, much like we see boxers in the early rounds.I prefer a more predictable first-half environment: However, I firmly believe the elongated game accentuates the wide variance of outcomes for a 60-minute contest. I realize oddsmakers are well aware of this and bake that into the odds. I've been workshopping this mindset for the past couple years.įirst, it's a sport that stops the clock on first downs, which are occurring with more frequency due to increased tempo and pass-happy offenses. but this is far from an impulsive and emotional decision spearheaded by a bad beat last weekend. If I want an under, I am now solely riding with the first half. You just need too much to go right, especially at the end of games. I am done betting college football unders. If you don't know how to use the hack for High School Story you will see instructions below.Enough is enough. Using our website you no longer need to download a hack tool, so it is safer. You will also not need a jailbreak or rooted phone. Below you will see all the cheats needed to hack High School Story These Cheats for High School Story work on all iOS and Android devices. High School Story Hack will let you to buy all items for free. ![]()
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